BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  150.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    L   151.14  20  21   1A  55 (  8-  4) North Carolina St       0.34     -1.34                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   153.80  39  21   1A  99 (  3-  9) Old Dominion            2.99     15.01                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    W   163.12  49  10   1B  41 (  5-  6) Campbell               12.32     26.68                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L * 142.66  20  23   1A  74 (  4-  7) Navy                   -8.14      5.14                      
  5 10/01/2022 Neutral W * 156.61  48  28   1A 104 (  1- 11) South Florida           5.80     14.20                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    L * 148.45   9  24   1A  19 ( 11-  2) Tulane                 -2.35    -12.65                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    W * 153.99  47  45   1A  57 (  6-  6) Memphis                 3.19     -1.19                      
  8 10/22/2022 Home    W * 176.90  34  13   1A  32 (  9-  4) Central Florida        26.10     -5.10                      
  9 10/28/2022 Away    W   153.64  27  24   1A  68 (  7-  5) Brigham Young           2.84      0.16                      
 10 11/11/2022 Away    L * 156.39  25  27   1A  47 (  9-  3) Cincinnati              5.59     -7.59                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    L * 111.79   3  42   1A  56 (  7-  5) Houston               -39.02      0.02                      
 12 11/26/2022 Away    W * 141.14  49  46   1A 107 (  3-  9) Temple                 -9.66     12.66                      
      Averages             150.80  30.8 27.0

Best game:  176.90 = 21 point win over Central Florida
Worst game: 111.79 = 39 point loss to Houston
Team stdev:  15.41